Copyright (c) 2026 Mohammad Walid Hemat, Gaye Karpat Çatalbaş

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Household Education Expenditure in Afghanistan: The Role of Socioeconomic Factors
Corresponding Author(s) : Mohammad Walid Hemat
Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities,
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): January
Abstract
Educational development is central to the social, economic, and political sustainability of nations. In Afghanistan, the education sector has faced persistent challenges and interruptions over the past century, producing significant consequences for both the country and the wider region. Despite the importance of household education expenditure in shaping educational outcomes, limited research has examined the broader socioeconomic determinants of such spending in Afghanistan. Existing studies have largely emphasized financial and demographic characteristics, leaving social and geographic factors underexplored.This study aims to investigates the determinants of household education expenditure in Afghanistan, focusing on the role of socioeconomic, geographic, and social factors. Using high-frequency household survey data from all provinces and applying logistic regression, the research identifies key drivers of the likelihood of household spending on education.Results reveal a nonlinear relationship between income and the probability of education expenditure, with the likelihood rising with income up to a threshold, then declining among the highest-income households. Asset ownership generally increases the odds of spending on education. Among expenditure categories, food, personal, and internet-related spending increase the likelihood of education expenditure, while transport expenditure reduces it. Regional disparities in education spending are high, and the type of dwelling, whether single, shared, or temporary housing, emerges as an important factor in explaining variation in household decisions. The findings highlight the need for targeted policy interventions to reduce regional inequalities and strengthen household investment in education. By emphasizing the influence of social and geographic factors alongside economic ones, this study contributes to a more comprehensive understanding of education expenditure in Afghanistan’s complex socioeconomic context.
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- Addai, I. (2022). A Contribution to the Determinants of Annual Household Education Expenditure in Ghana. Social Sciences & Humanities Open 6(1):1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssaho.2022.100349. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssaho.2022.100349
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- Arooje, R., & Nina B. (2021). School Education in Afghanistan: Overcoming the Challenges of a Fragile State. Pp. 411–441 in Handbook of Education Systems in South Asia. Springer. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0032-9_10
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- Behrman, J. R., & J. C. Knowles. (1999). Household Income and Child Schooling in Vietnam. The World Bank Economic Review 13(2):211–256. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/13.2.211. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/13.2.211
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- Bischoff, I., & Ferry P. (2015). Determinants of Local Public Expenditures on Education: Empirical Evidence for Indonesian Districts between 2005 and 2012.
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- Central Statistics Organization. (2018). Afghanistan Living Conditions Survey 2016-17. Kabul, CSO. Kabul.
- Chevalier, A., Colm H., Vincent O’ S., & Ian W.. (2013). The Impact of Parental Income and Education on the Schooling of Their Children. IZA Journal of Labor Economics 2(1):1–22. https://doi.org/10.1186/2193-8997-2-8. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/2193-8997-2-8
- Connelly, L.. (2020). Logistic Regression. Understanding Research 29(5):353–354.
- DeVaney, S. A., Sophia T. A., & Yuan Y. (2007). Asset Ownership by Black and White Families. Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning 18(1):33–45.
- Diawara, B. (2012). Schooling and Assets Ownership. Modern Economy 03(01):126–138. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2012.31018. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2012.31018
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References
Addai, I. (2022). A Contribution to the Determinants of Annual Household Education Expenditure in Ghana. Social Sciences & Humanities Open 6(1):1–10. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssaho.2022.100349. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssaho.2022.100349
Addai, I. (2024). An Empirical Analysis of Household Formal Education Expenditure in Ghana. Cogent Education 11(1):1–13. https://doi.org/10.1080/2331186X.2023.2292863. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/2331186X.2023.2292863
Arooje, R., & Nina B. (2021). School Education in Afghanistan: Overcoming the Challenges of a Fragile State. Pp. 411–441 in Handbook of Education Systems in South Asia. Springer. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0032-9_10
Arvate, P. R., & Ana C. P. Z. (2010). Intergenerational Conflict and Public Education Expenditure When There Is Co-Residence between the Elderly and Young. Economics of Education Review 29(6):1165–1175. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2010.06.009. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2010.06.009
Askarov, Z., & Hristos D. (2020). A Meta-Analysis of the Effects of Remittances on Household Education Expenditure. World Development 129:104860. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104860. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104860
Behrman, J. R., & J. C. Knowles. (1999). Household Income and Child Schooling in Vietnam. The World Bank Economic Review 13(2):211–256. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/13.2.211. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/13.2.211
Bekele, M., Maria S., Kedir J., & Beyan A. (2024). Human Capital Development and Economic Sustainability Linkage in Sub-Saharan African Countries: Novel Evidence from Augmented Mean Group Approach. Heliyon 10(2). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e24323. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e24323
Bhushan, S. (2019). The Future of Higher Education in India. Delhi: Springer India. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-32-9061-7
Bischoff, I., & Ferry P. (2015). Determinants of Local Public Expenditures on Education: Empirical Evidence for Indonesian Districts between 2005 and 2012.
Boateng, E. Y., & Daniel A. A. (2019). A Review of the Logistic Regression Model with Emphasis on Medical Research. Journal of Data Analysis and Information Processing 07(04):190–207. https://doi.org/10.4236/jdaip.2019.74012. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4236/jdaip.2019.74012
Central Statistics Organization. (2018). Afghanistan Living Conditions Survey 2016-17. Kabul, CSO. Kabul.
Chevalier, A., Colm H., Vincent O’ S., & Ian W.. (2013). The Impact of Parental Income and Education on the Schooling of Their Children. IZA Journal of Labor Economics 2(1):1–22. https://doi.org/10.1186/2193-8997-2-8. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/2193-8997-2-8
Connelly, L.. (2020). Logistic Regression. Understanding Research 29(5):353–354.
DeVaney, S. A., Sophia T. A., & Yuan Y. (2007). Asset Ownership by Black and White Families. Journal of Financial Counseling and Planning 18(1):33–45.
Diawara, B. (2012). Schooling and Assets Ownership. Modern Economy 03(01):126–138. https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2012.31018. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4236/me.2012.31018
Dupree, N. H. (1998). Education Patterns in the Context of an Emergency. Refuge: Canad’s Journal on Refugees/ Refuge: Revue Canadienne Sur Les Réfugiés 17(4):17–21. DOI: https://doi.org/10.25071/1920-7336.21977
Falch, T., & Jørn R.. (1997). Political Economic Determinants of School Spending in Federal States: Theory and Time-Series Evidence. European Journal of Political Economy 13(2):299–314. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0176-2680(97)00006-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0176-2680(97)00006-2
FarCˇnik, D., & Tanja I.. (2020). The Importance of Human Capital for Sustainability. Pp. 237–252 in Challenges on the Path Toward Sustainability in Europe. Emerald Publishing Limited. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-80043-972-620201013
Hilbe, J. M. (2016). Practical Guide to Logistic Regression. New York: Taylor and Francis Group. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1201/b18678
Hirsch, W. Z. (1960). Determinants of Public Education Expenditures. National Tax Journal 13(1):29–40. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/NTJ41790789
Hosmer, D. W., & Stanley L. (2000). Applied Logistic Regresion. Second edi. N. A. C. Cressie, N. I. Fisher, I. M. Johnstone, J. B. Kadane, & D. W. Scott. John Wiley and Sons, INC.
Hwang, J.. (2005). Asset Distribution and Tertiary Education Expenditure in Developing Countries. Economics of Education Review 24(2):171–178. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2004.03.010. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2004.03.010
Idrees, A. S. (2013). Does Public Education Expenditure Cause Economic Growth? Comparison of Developed and Developing Countries. Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences 7(1):174–83.
Imana, D. K. (2017). The Determinants of Public Education Expenditures: An Empirical Analysis of Changing Patterns and Growth of Public Expenditure on Education in Kenya. Journal of Public Administration and Governance 7(4):1-10 https://doi.org/10.5296/jpag.v7i4.11972. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5296/jpag.v7i4.11972
Jabbar, N. A., & Doris P. S.. (2017). Analysis of the Determinants of Education Expenditures in Malaysia. Journal of International Business, Economics and Entrepreneurship 2(1):1–10.
Khalifa, Y. A.. (2008). Education Expenditure and Economic Growth: Some Empirical Evidence from the GCC Countries. The Journal of Developing Areas 42(1):69–80. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/jda.0.0025
Kim, D., & Sun G. (2020). Human Capital and Environmental Sustainability. Sustainability (Switzerland) 12(11):1–14. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12114736. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su12114736
Kurban, H., Ryan M. G., & Joseph J. P.. (2015). Demographic Changes and Education Expenditures: A Reinterpretation. Economics of Education Review 45:103–108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2015.01.001. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2015.01.001
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Mahjoub, E. E.. (2017). Determinants of Household Education Expenditure in Sudan. 1138.
Mankiw, Romer N. G., D. , & Weil. D. N. (1992). A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 107(2):407–437. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118477. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2118477
McMahon, W. W. (1970). An Economic Analysis of Major Determinants of Expenditures on Public Education. The Review of Economics and Statistics 52(3):242–452. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1926292
Montgomery, D. C., Elizabeth A. P., and Geoffrey V.. (2012). Introduction to Kinear Regrassion Analysis. Fifth. New Jersey: John Wiley and Sons.
Nagelkerke, N. J. D. (1991). A Note on a General Definition of the Coefficient of Determination. Biometrika 78(3):691–692. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/78.3.691. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/78.3.691
Ngoan, N. Thi, Nguyen T., Tuyet M., Dam T., Thu T., & Trinh T. H.. (2021). Determinants of Household Expenditure on Education. TNU Journal of Science and Technology 226(04):53–61.
Oladokun, Y. O. M., Kemisola O. A., Kabir K. S., & Olubunmi O. A.. (2018). Level of Asset Ownership by Women in Rural North-East and South-East Nigeria. Women’s Studies International Forum 70(June):68–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wsif.2018.07.014. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wsif.2018.07.014
Öznur, E., Burak G., & Seyit M. (2016). An Empirical Analysis of Household Education Expenditures in Turkey. International Journal of Educational Development 51(1):23–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijedudev.2016.03.007. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijedudev.2016.03.007
Pampel, F. C. (2000). Logistic Regression: A Primer. edited by C. D. Laughton. New Delhi: Sage Publication. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4135/9781412984805
Rizk, R., & John O. A. (2014). Determinants of Household Expenditure on Children’s Education in Egypt. International Journal of Economics and Development 5(4):332–360. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1504/IJEED.2014.067194
Rodrigues, M., & Danilo S. (2021). Education Quality and the Empirics of Economic Growth: Reconciling Mankiw-Romer-Weil Estimates with Microeconometric Evidence. Applied Economics Letters 28(6):470–476. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761524. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2020.1761524
Romer, P. M. (1986). Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth. Journal of Political Economy 94(5):1002–1037. https://doi.org/10.1086/261420. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/261420
Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous Technological Change. Journal of Political Economy 98(5):71–102. https://doi.org/10.3386/w3210. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/261725
Sagarik, D.. (2013). An Analysis of the Determinants of Education Expenditure in Thailand. Asian Politics & Policy 5(2):227–248. https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.12027. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/aspp.12027
Samady, S. R. (2001). Education and Afghan Society in the Twentieth Century, UNESCO, Paris.
Şamkar, H. (2017). Akıllı Telefon Kullanıcılarının Memnuniyet Düzeylerinde Etkili Olan Faktörlerin İncelenmesi: Eskişehir Örneği. Alphanumeric Journal 5(1). https://doi.org/10.17093/alphanumeric.323829. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17093/alphanumeric.323829
Sarkar, N. (2017). Determinants of Household Expenditure on Higher Education in India. International Education and Research Journal 3(6):12–14.
Sheikh, R. I. (2019). “Analysis of the Determinants of Public Education Expenditures in Bangladesh.” Journal of Public Administration and Governance 9(3):151-159. https://doi.org/10.5296/jpag.v9i3.15419. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5296/jpag.v9i3.15419
Singh, H., Angrej S. G., & Pradeep K. C.. (2023). Household Expenditure on Secondary Education in Haryana (India): Levels, Patterns and Determinants. Millennial Asia 14(4):605–635. https://doi.org/10.1177/09763996211073230. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/09763996211073230
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Accepted 2026-01-31
Published 2026-01-31