Copyright (c) 2026 Alireza Kargar Ansary, Mirza Hussain Fazili , Sayed Ahmad Shafi Sadat

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Analyzing China’s Security Policy in East Asia within the Framework of Offensive Realism (2013–2025)
Corresponding Author(s) : Alireza Kargar Ansary
Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities,
Vol. 3 No. 1 (2026): January
Abstract
China’s security policy has become a central theme in contemporary debates on International Relations and regional order in East Asia. Despite the extensive literature on China’s foreign policy, a significant research gap remains in explaining its security behavior through the lens of offensive realism. This study analyzes China’s evolving security policy in East Asia from 2013 to 2025, drawing on the theoretical foundations of offensive realism. Using a descriptive–analytical approach and relying on documentary sources, the research examines key components of China’s strategic transformation — including the Comprehensive National Security Doctrine (2014), the reform and modernization of the People’s Liberation Army, the centralization of political authority under Xi Jinping, and the growing link between security and geo-economics through the Belt and Road Initiative. The findings indicate that China has shifted from a defensive posture to a proactive, power-oriented strategy, seeking regional hegemony and redefining East Asia’s security order in its own favor. Moreover, China’s growing power has intensified regional security dilemmas and strategic competition with neighboring states and the United States. The study concludes that China’s contemporary security strategy represents a structural transition from defensive deterrence to offensive structural deterrence, signaling a long-term move toward a competitive and fragmented regional order in East Asia.
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- Akbari, M. S. (2024). The Examination of Three Foreign Policy Models in International Politics. Baharestan Scientific Research Quarterly Journal, 41–62. https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v2i2.99 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v2i2.99
- Ansary Kargar, A. A. (2025). An Analysis of Recent Global Developments in the International Order (2001–2024). Baharestan Scientific Research Quarterly Journal, 2(3), 21–40. https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v2i3.118 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v2i3.118
- Aria, N. (2025). The Power of Ideas: A Constructivist Reinterpretation of Security in International Relations. Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities, 2(3), 18–36. https://doi.org/10.62810/jssh.v2i3.120 DOI: https://doi.org/10.62810/jssh.v2i3.120
- Asemani, H. (2022). Military Diplomacy and Foreign Policy of China. Iranian Research Letter of International Politics, 11(1), 1–25. https://doi.org/10.22067/irlip.2022.69383.1047
- Budnyk, S. (2025). China-Africa cooperation: Current state and prospects. Society and Security, 6(6), 3–8. https://doi.org/10.26642/sas-2024-6(6)-3-8 DOI: https://doi.org/10.26642/sas-2024-6(6)-3-8
- Caballero-Anthony, M., & Gong, L. (2021). Security Governance in East Asia and China’s Response to COVID-19. Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences, 14(2), 153–172. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40647-020-00312-4 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40647-020-00312-4
- Ghanbarloo, A. (2013). Security foundations of China foreign policy. Strategic Studies Quarterly, 16(60), 125–152.
- https://geopoliticalfutures.com. (2024, March 8). Tracking China’s Defense Spending. Geopolitical Futures. https://geopoliticalfutures.com/tracking-chinas-defense-spending/
- iranchinaejob.ir. (2023, June 21). Everything About the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): The New and Modern Silk Road—China Express. https://iranchinaejob.ir/bri/
- Joel Atkinson. (2015). Development Assistance and Geopolitics in Australia-China-Taiwan Relations. Asian International Studies Review, 16(2), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.16934/ISR.16.2.201512.1 DOI: https://doi.org/10.16934/isr.16.2.201512.1
- Kang, D. C., Wong, J. S. H., & Chan, Z. T. (2025). What Does China Want? International Security, 50(1), 46–81. https://doi.org/10.1162/ISEC.a.5 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/ISEC.a.5
- Kargar, A. A. (2025). Analyzing Taiwan’s Strategic Position in the Geopolitical Rivalry Between China and the United States. Baharestan Scientific Research Quarterly Journal, 1–25. https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v3i1.170 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v3i1.170
- Karimi, M. (2022). Security activism of China and India in South Asian Region. World Politics, 11(3), 125–153. https://doi.org/10.22124/wp.2022.22767.3058
- Lande, E. (2018). Between Offensive and Defensive Realism – The Japanese Abe Government’s Security Policy toward China. Asian Security, 14(2), 172–192. https://doi.org/10.1080/14799855.2017.1323882 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14799855.2017.1323882
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- Liu, F. (2016). China’s Security Strategy towards East Asia. The Chinese Journal of International Politics, 9(2), 151–179. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/pow003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/pow003
- Mearsheimer, J. J. (2010). The Gathering Storm: China’s Challenge to US Power in Asia. The Chinese Journal of International Politics, 3(4), 381–396. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/poq016 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/poq016
- Mersheimer, J. (2011). The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Q. Cheginizadeh, Trans.; 3th ed.). Institute for Political and International Studies.
- nationsonline.org, klaus kästle-. (n.d.). Map of the South China Sea. Nations Online Project. Retrieved October 14, 2025, from https://www.nationsonline.org/oneworld/map/South-China-Sea-political-map.htm
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- Ping, H. W. (2009). China’s African Policy: Driving Forces, Features and Global Impact. Africa Review, 1(1), 35–53. https://doi.org/10.1080/09744053.2009.10597279 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09744053.2009.10597279
- Ranjkesh, M. J., & Bornah, F. (2022). The International Organizations Position in Soft Balancing in Post-Cold War Era. International Relations Researches, 12(4), 403–371. https://doi.org/10.22034/irr.2022.163680
- Sadat, S. A. S. (2025). Analyzing China’s Strategic and Geopolitical Policies in Africa. Baharestan Scientific Research Quarterly Journal, 27–51. https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v3i1.171 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v3i1.171
- Tu, J. (2008). Sino-African Relations: Historical Development and Long-term Challenges. China: An International Journal, 06(02), 330–343. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219747208000204 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219747208000204
- Waldron, A. (2012). Political Aspects of Taiwan’s Security in a New Asian Environment. Orbis, 56(3), 447–469. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2012.05.010 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2012.05.010
- Walt, S. M. (2025). Hedging on Hegemony: The Realist Debate over How to Respond to China. International Security, 49(4), 37–70. https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00508 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00508
References
Akbari, M. S. (2024). The Examination of Three Foreign Policy Models in International Politics. Baharestan Scientific Research Quarterly Journal, 41–62. https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v2i2.99 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v2i2.99
Ansary Kargar, A. A. (2025). An Analysis of Recent Global Developments in the International Order (2001–2024). Baharestan Scientific Research Quarterly Journal, 2(3), 21–40. https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v2i3.118 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v2i3.118
Aria, N. (2025). The Power of Ideas: A Constructivist Reinterpretation of Security in International Relations. Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities, 2(3), 18–36. https://doi.org/10.62810/jssh.v2i3.120 DOI: https://doi.org/10.62810/jssh.v2i3.120
Asemani, H. (2022). Military Diplomacy and Foreign Policy of China. Iranian Research Letter of International Politics, 11(1), 1–25. https://doi.org/10.22067/irlip.2022.69383.1047
Budnyk, S. (2025). China-Africa cooperation: Current state and prospects. Society and Security, 6(6), 3–8. https://doi.org/10.26642/sas-2024-6(6)-3-8 DOI: https://doi.org/10.26642/sas-2024-6(6)-3-8
Caballero-Anthony, M., & Gong, L. (2021). Security Governance in East Asia and China’s Response to COVID-19. Fudan Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences, 14(2), 153–172. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40647-020-00312-4 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40647-020-00312-4
Ghanbarloo, A. (2013). Security foundations of China foreign policy. Strategic Studies Quarterly, 16(60), 125–152.
https://geopoliticalfutures.com. (2024, March 8). Tracking China’s Defense Spending. Geopolitical Futures. https://geopoliticalfutures.com/tracking-chinas-defense-spending/
iranchinaejob.ir. (2023, June 21). Everything About the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI): The New and Modern Silk Road—China Express. https://iranchinaejob.ir/bri/
Joel Atkinson. (2015). Development Assistance and Geopolitics in Australia-China-Taiwan Relations. Asian International Studies Review, 16(2), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.16934/ISR.16.2.201512.1 DOI: https://doi.org/10.16934/isr.16.2.201512.1
Kang, D. C., Wong, J. S. H., & Chan, Z. T. (2025). What Does China Want? International Security, 50(1), 46–81. https://doi.org/10.1162/ISEC.a.5 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/ISEC.a.5
Kargar, A. A. (2025). Analyzing Taiwan’s Strategic Position in the Geopolitical Rivalry Between China and the United States. Baharestan Scientific Research Quarterly Journal, 1–25. https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v3i1.170 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v3i1.170
Karimi, M. (2022). Security activism of China and India in South Asian Region. World Politics, 11(3), 125–153. https://doi.org/10.22124/wp.2022.22767.3058
Lande, E. (2018). Between Offensive and Defensive Realism – The Japanese Abe Government’s Security Policy toward China. Asian Security, 14(2), 172–192. https://doi.org/10.1080/14799855.2017.1323882 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14799855.2017.1323882
Lin, M. (2025). Taiwan, Geopolitics, and US–China Relations. The Geography Teacher, 22(1), 31–35. https://doi.org/10.1080/19338341.2024.2432276 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19338341.2024.2432276
Liu, F. (2016). China’s Security Strategy towards East Asia. The Chinese Journal of International Politics, 9(2), 151–179. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/pow003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/pow003
Mearsheimer, J. J. (2010). The Gathering Storm: China’s Challenge to US Power in Asia. The Chinese Journal of International Politics, 3(4), 381–396. https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/poq016 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/cjip/poq016
Mersheimer, J. (2011). The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Q. Cheginizadeh, Trans.; 3th ed.). Institute for Political and International Studies.
nationsonline.org, klaus kästle-. (n.d.). Map of the South China Sea. Nations Online Project. Retrieved October 14, 2025, from https://www.nationsonline.org/oneworld/map/South-China-Sea-political-map.htm
Nishida, M. (2023). Changing Security Environment in East Asia and Its Implications on Japan’s Nuclear Policy. Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament, 6(2), 327–345. https://doi.org/10.1080/25751654.2023.2285024 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/25751654.2023.2285024
Ping, H. W. (2009). China’s African Policy: Driving Forces, Features and Global Impact. Africa Review, 1(1), 35–53. https://doi.org/10.1080/09744053.2009.10597279 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09744053.2009.10597279
Ranjkesh, M. J., & Bornah, F. (2022). The International Organizations Position in Soft Balancing in Post-Cold War Era. International Relations Researches, 12(4), 403–371. https://doi.org/10.22034/irr.2022.163680
Sadat, S. A. S. (2025). Analyzing China’s Strategic and Geopolitical Policies in Africa. Baharestan Scientific Research Quarterly Journal, 27–51. https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v3i1.171 DOI: https://doi.org/10.61438/bsrqj.v3i1.171
Tu, J. (2008). Sino-African Relations: Historical Development and Long-term Challenges. China: An International Journal, 06(02), 330–343. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219747208000204 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219747208000204
Waldron, A. (2012). Political Aspects of Taiwan’s Security in a New Asian Environment. Orbis, 56(3), 447–469. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2012.05.010 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2012.05.010
Walt, S. M. (2025). Hedging on Hegemony: The Realist Debate over How to Respond to China. International Security, 49(4), 37–70. https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00508 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00508
Accepted 2026-01-26
Published 2026-01-31